Will pollsters or the prediction markets provide the most accurate forecasts in the midterms?

From Alaska to Texas, the battle for control of the U.S. Senate is unfolding across 35 races. And a new Northwestern ...

Kalshi and Polymarket have handled nearly $1.36 billion in U.S. election-based trades since the start of the year. Here's ...

The US midterms are playing out against a controversial new scoreboard, as the nation votes in its first major elections ...

Who will win Ohio's races for governor and U.S. Senate? On prediction markets, people put money behind their guesses.

A new Ohio bill would ban gambling on elections. The bill comes amid debate about prediction market regulation, and as Ohio's ...

Americans have already staked more than $1.4 billion on prediction markets tied to the outcome of 2026 U.S. midterm elections ...

People are betting millions on the outcomes of congressional races in North Carolina through online platforms like Kalshi and ...

Prediction markets about the 2026 midterm elections have surpassed $1.4 billion in trading volume as Election Day fast ...

That is a dramatic reversal from the pre-election market, when Eisenkot had spent months as the clear favorite and entered Election Day at 57%. The “No one” contract has surged 22 points as the count ...

Israel’s election results triggered a dramatic reversal in online prediction markets overnight, as tens of millions of dollars in wagers shifted sharply away from Gadi Eisenkot and toward Prime ...