From Alaska to Texas, the battle for control of the U.S. Senate is unfolding across 35 races. And a new Northwestern ...

Polling expert Nate Silver believes the midterm elections could be so disastrous for Donald Trump that the results will ...

Lindsey Graham died in July after winning the Republican primary for another term, forcing South Carolina into an accelerated ...

A new survey supported by the Brennan Center finds that prediction market odds shift voters’ views of which candidates are ...

Carville made the claim after Sosnik referenced an NBC News/Decision Desk poll that found 44 percent of Republican voters ...

Track Which party will win Kansas’s 2026 governor election prediction market analysis with live Polymarket odds, ...

It shows up as one number. Confident. Clean. An election is "72% likely" to go one way. A rate cut is "pegged at 88%." Some ...

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva bucked prediction market odds with his unlikely win in the Brazilian ...

While prediction market odds pointed to a clear Bolsonaro victory, Lula emerged the winner in a tight race.

Polymarket and Kalshi priced Flávio Bolsonaro as a roughly 80% favorite hours before Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won Sunday’s runoff, and traders are split on whether the markets got it wrong.